I am Affonso Henriques, a researcher, essayist, and consultant whose work focuses on decision-making under uncertainty and complexity, scenario analysis and strategic foresight, leadership, organizational behavior and cognition, work and motivation, and cross-cultural analysis.
I completed my Master’s degree at the University of Brasília (UnB), where my research examined cultural patterns and leadership norms in a comparative study involving employees in Brazil and the United States. I subsequently pursued PhD studies at ESADE in Barcelona, part of Universitat Ramon Llull, under the supervision of Simon L. Dolan.
My academic background and professional experience have led me to a simple conclusion: complex problems are rarely understood through formulas, fashionable concepts, or ready-made answers. They require examining context, human behavior, competing forces, incomplete information, and the assumptions that quietly shape decisions.
Profile and Analytical Philosophy
Brazil Insights represents over four decades of continuous research and practice across institutional analysis, strategic management, and quantitative methods. As an Insightor, Writer, and Researcher, Affonso Henriques established this platform upon the conviction that true intellectual value lies in empowering leaders to think independently, free from rigid consulting formulas.
The WDIR Framework and Dialogue with Shalom Schwartz
Over a forty-year trajectory, the author developed the WDIR (What Does It Represent?) framework — a systematic interrogation technique designed to strip away superficial noise and uncover the core structure of complex scenarios. Through direct intellectual exchange with Dr. Shalom H. Schwartz, creator of the Theory of Human Values, this method was combined with value congruence analysis to provide a scientifically grounded framework for decision-making under uncertainty.
Academic Alliances, Upcoming Publication & Active Projects
Affonso Henriques is actively aligning Brazil Insights’ research agenda with world-renowned centers specializing in uncertainty and scenario planning, including the Copenhagen Business School (CBS) in Denmark, the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), the Oxford Scenarios Program, MIT, and Stanford University. He is also currently finalizing a scientific manuscript for submission to Theory and Decision, the leading peer-reviewed journal for decision-making processes under uncertainty and complexity.
In parallel to academic research, he is leading active strategic projects centered on institutional risk, public policy evaluation, and decision architecture across Brazil and Canada.
Official Academic Credentials
To review the author’s complete academic record, published research, and scientific credentials, visit the official profiles:
- Lattes Curriculum: https://lattes.cnpq.br/9957852697988282
- ORCID Profile: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-0655-571X

